4 Comments

Great post. The leasehold structure of the real estate market is something that has been on my one for a while. Lots of get through before then though.

Expand full comment
author

True but just remember lease values from any university accounting or finance class: The values will peak and start falling long before the end of the lease. That's what is starting to happen in Singapore. Now imagine that on a much bigger scale... Local chinese govts need to find a new and more stable way to raise revenue rather than land lease sales e.g. property taxes like in the West...

Expand full comment

Oh yes. Don’t worry, by lots to get through I was thinking about deflation, middle income trap, Taiwan, shrinking population. All to deal with before those leases really bite!

Expand full comment

“Expat”

Just call yourself an immigrant fam.

Expand full comment