China & Hong Kong Stock Picks (April 2025)
Luckin Coffee, Li Ning, Byd Company, Ping An Insurance, New Oriental Education, Ubtech Robotics, AIA Group, WH Group, Sands China, Galaxy Entertainment, Trip.com, Yum China, Will Semiconductor, etc.
The US-China trade war appears to be on hold for now with only alt-finance or alt-media sites like ZeroHedge being left with any sort of credibility when it comes to reporting about it over the past month:
💻 China Sent Secret Delegation To Washington To Negotiate Trade Deal While Vowing It Would "Never Talk To Trump" (ZeroHedge) 🗃️
And now, thanks to the FT we learn that we have China's capitulation to thank for all of this.
Recall that on April 25 we reported something which no other US media outlet carried, namely that a "Chinese Delegation Spotted Entering Treasury Department" in a meeting shrouded in secrecy as China "Demanded All Photos Be Deleted."
All except for the one below:
Naturally, we suggested that this was an overture to China offering an olive branch to the Trump admin on US soil in hopes of reaching a trade deal, a speculation which the TDS-crowd fumed over.
It turns out we were right, and as the FT writes, "the first meeting to break the US-China trade deadlock was held almost three weeks ago in the basement of the IMF headquarters, arranged under cover of secrecy."
And ZeroHedge has been doing more gloating about being right about other things:
💻 Fake News Narrative Of "Empty Ports, Empty Shelves" Suffers Spectacular Implosion (ZeroHedge) 🗃️
It was about one month ago, when as stocks tumbled, economists rushed to catch down to the sliding market by doing what they do best: chasing prices (in this case lower) by slashing their economic forecasts (most notably Goldman Sachs) a move which we mocked at the time, and correctly predicted it would be about a month before these same economists made an "unrecession" their base case once stocks rebounded.
And they were also not mincing words regarding the corporate media:
Which is also why the left's attempt to spark widespread panic by focusing on Chinese imports had largely been a dud... and why it forced the media to escalate its claims to ever more ludicrous proportions, until we got the CNN story that there were "zero ships from China are bound for California's top ports."
And this is where we drew the line because it takes about a 10 second google search on any of the marine tracking websites such as Marine Traffic to find out this is total bullshit. And the fact that CNN didn't even consider that not all of its readers are absolute idiots who would accept its lies with zero pushback, is what was most remarkable.
However, the same corporate media that was wrong about the trade war has just published this interesting and lengthy piece:
💻 Rogue communication devices found in Chinese solar power inverters (Reuters)
Rogue communication devices found in Chinese solar inverters
Undocumented cellular radios also found in Chinese batteries
U.S. says continually assesses risk with emerging technology
U.S. working to integrate 'trusted equipment' into the grid
And:
In February, two U.S. Senators introduced the Decoupling from Foreign Adversarial Battery Dependence Act, banning the Department of Homeland Security from purchasing batteries from some Chinese entities, starting October 2027, due to national security concerns.
The bill was referred to the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs on March 11 and has yet to be enacted.
It aims to prevent Homeland Security from procuring batteries from six Chinese companies Washington says are closely linked to the Chinese Communist Party: Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL) (SHE: 300750), BYD Company (SHE: 002594 / HKG: 1211 / SGX: HYDD / OTCMKTS: BYDDY / BYDDF), Envision Energy, EVE Energy Co Ltd (SHE: 300014), Hithium Energy Storage Technology Company, and Gotion High-tech Co (SHE: 002074 / FRA: 24U0).
As for Chinese stocks, it probably still makes sense to focus on domestic plays with a recent DBS piece (Tariff hikes: domestic brands see resilience - Consumer Sector 🗃️) mentioning:
🌐 ANTA Sports Products (HKG: 2020 / FRA: AS7 / OTCMKTS: ANPDY / OTCMKTS: ANPDF) 🇰🇾 - Design, R&D, manufacturing, marketing & sales of professional sports products. Acquired Amer Sports (NYSE: AS) (global sportswear group). 🇼 🏷️
Price/Book (Current): 3.95
Forward P/E: 18.15 / Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 2.49% (Yahoo! Finance)
🌏 China Mengniu Dairy Company (HKG: 2319 / FRA: EZQ0 / EZQ / OTCMKTS: CIADY / CIADF) 🇰🇾 - Dairy products to Chinese & global consumers. 🇼 🏷️
Price/Book (Most Recent Quarter): 1.62
Forward P/E: 14.33 / Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 2.92% (Yahoo! Finance)
🇨🇳🏛️ CR Beer (HKG: 0291 / FRA: CHK / OTCMKTS: CRHKY / CRHKF) 🇭🇰 - Manufacturing, sales & distribution of beer products. Subs. of China Resources (Holdings) Company Limited. Strategic partnership with the Heineken Group. 🇼 🏷️
Price/Book (Most Recent Quarter): 2.57
Forward P/E: 15.46 / Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 3.02% (Yahoo! Finance)
🇨🇳 YUM China (NYSE: YUMC) - China’s largest restaurant company. Exclusive right to operate & sub-license KFC, Pizza Hut & Taco Bell + owns Little Sheep & Huang Ji Huangt. Partnered with Lavazza. 🇼 🏷️
Price/Book (Current): 3.03
Forward P/E: 18.66 / Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 2.05% (Yahoo! Finance)
Plus “solid yield plays” plays:
🌐 WH Group Ltd (HKG: 0288 / FRA: 0WH / 0WHS / OTCMKTS: WHGLY / WHGRF) 🇰🇾 - Largest pork company in the world. Integrated pork business chain. 🇼 🏷️
Price/Book (Current): 1.00
Forward P/E: 9.58 / Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 7.47% (Yahoo! Finance)
🇨🇳 Uni-President China (HKG: 0220 / FRA: 58U) 🇰🇾 - Largest juice drinks producer & third largest instant noodles supplier in China. Subs. of Taiwan based Uni-President Enterprises Corp (TPE: 1216). 🇼 🏷️
Price/Book (Most Recent Quarter): 2.93
Forward P/E: 18.76 / Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 4.65% (Yahoo! Finance)
Note that our China, Hong Kong & Macau Stock Index also has almost 400 stocks listed:
🇨🇳 China (307)
🇭🇰 Hong Kong (72)
🇲🇴 Macau (9)
Chinese stocks covered by a couple of equity research providers in this post:
[Note: On desktop browsers, an autogenerated table of contents will appear on the left side linked to each stock. I will add those links below after publishing/emailing this post…]
🇨🇳 China - WuXi AppTec, Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics, Luckin Coffee, BYD Company, Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare, Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic, China Pacific Insurance (Group) (CPIC), Li Ning, Zhejiang Dingli Machinery, Wingtech Technology, BYD Electronic International Co Ltd, Akeso, Ping An Insurance, Great Wall Motor, Guangzhou Automobile Group (GAC Group), New Oriental Education, ZTE, Zhongji Innolight Co Ltd, Kanzhun Ltd, Sany Heavy Industry, Xtep, iQIYI, InnoScience (Suzhou) Technology Holding Co, Tongcheng Travel Holdings, PICC P&C, Baidu, ANTA Sports Products, BOE Varitronix, Ubtech Robotics Corp, JD.com, J&T Global Express, Alibaba, Naura Technology, XtalPi Holdings, Binjiang Service Group, Yonyou Network Technology, New Hope Service Holdings, Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings, Intron Technology, Maxscend Microelectronics, Jiumaojiu International Holdings, Tongda Group Holdings & CSPC Pharmaceutical Group
Hong Kong stocks covered include (and a number of them have good dividend yields):
[Note: Access to some DBS Insights Direct pieces might be restricted depending on your location or browser.]
🇭🇰 Hong Kong - AIA Group Ltd, Hutchison Port Holdings Trust, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd, WH Group Ltd, Television Broadcasts Ltd, Sa Sa International Holdings Ltd, Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd, China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd, Hongkong Land Holdings Ltd, Sands China Ltd, CK Asset Holdings Ltd, China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Ltd, Luk Fook Holdings (International) Ltd, Stella International Holdings Ltd, Sunlight Real Estate Investment Trust, EVA Precision Industrial Holdings, Prada SpA, Budweiser Brewing Company APAC Ltd, Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd & Henderson Land Development Co Ltd
In addition, CMB International Capital Corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank (SHA: 600036 / HKG: 3968 / OTCMKTS: CIHKY / OTCMKTS: CIHHF), has a monthly list of 20+ high conviction stock ideas - namely Chinese stock picks (see our 2023 - May, June, July, August, September, October, November & December; 2024 - January-February, March, April, May, June, July-August, September, October, November & December; 2025 - January, February & March posts summarizing those) BUT these lists do not change too much from month to month. Stocks covered by the CMBI April 2025 list (including additions and deletions) and included in this post with updated stats and charts include:
Geely Automobile, XPeng, Zoomlion Heavy Industry, ANTA Sports Products, Luckin Coffee, Yum China, Proya Cosmetics, China Resources Beverage Holdings (CR Beverage), BeiGene, Innovent Biologics, PICC P&C, Alibaba, Tencent, Kuaishou Technology, Trip.com, Greentown Service Group Co, Xiaomi, BYD Electronic International Co Ltd, Naura Technology, BaTeLab Co, Will Semiconductor Co Ltd, Salesforce, Zhongji Innolight Co Ltd, WuXi AppTec & China Pacific Insurance (Group) (CPIC)
And as always, this post is provided for informational purposes only (and to make your life easier…). It does not constitute investment advice and/or a recommendation…
🔬 Research analysis (including articles/blog posts from fund managers, etc.); 🎥 Video; 🎙️ Podcast; 🎬 Webinar; 📰 Newspaper/magazine article; 📯 Press release; 💻 Substack/blog/website article; ✅ Our own posts; 🗃️ Archived article; ⏰ Upcoming webinar or event; ⚠️ Disclosures or restricted access e.g. based on your location, investor status, etc.; 🇼 Wikipedia page; 🏷️ Tagged links to other posts about the stock.
🇨🇳 China
WuXi AppTec
🔬 WuXi AppTec (603259 CH) - To navigate macro uncertainties with a good start in 1Q25 (CMB International) 04-30-2025 ⚠️
🌐 WuXi AppTec Co (SHA: 603259 / HKG: 2359 / OTCMKTS: WUXAY) 🇨🇳 - R&D & manufacturing services to the pharmaceutical & healthcare industry. 🇼 🏷️
Price/Book (Current): 2.83
Forward P/E: 15.17 / Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 1.62% (Yahoo! Finance)
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics
🔬 Mindray (300760 CH) - Awaiting domestic demand rebound (CMB International) 04-30-2025 ⚠️
🌐 Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co., Ltd. (SHE: 300760) - Medical device manufacturer for human & veterinary use. 3 key business lines: Patient Monitoring & Life Support, In-Vitro Diagnostic Products & Medical Imaging Systems. 🇼 🏷️
Price/Book (Most Recent Quarter): 7.29
Forward P/E: 22.88 / Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 4.96% (Yahoo! Finance)
Luckin Coffee
🔬 Luckin Coffee (LKNCY US) - Management is prudent but long-term story intact (CMB International) 04-30-2025 ⚠️
🇨🇳 Luckin Coffee (OTCMKTS: LKNCY) - Brewed drinks & pre-made food & beverage items. 🇼 🏷️
Price/Book (Current): 5.37
Forward P/E: 18.18 / Forward Annual Dividend Yield: N/A (Yahoo! Finance)
BYD Company
🔬 Company Report: BYD Company (01211 HK): 1Q2025 Results Overall In-line with Expectations, with Strong Export Performance; Maintain "Buy" (Guotai Junan International) $ 04-30-2025 ⚠️
🔬 BYD (1211 HK/002594 CH) - 1Q25 earnings on track (CMB International) 04-28-2025 ⚠️
🔬 Flash Note: BYD Company (01211 HK): 1Q2025 Results Exceeded Expectations; New Plans of Cash Dividend and Bonus Shares to Reward Shareholders (Guotai Junan International) $ 04-23-2025 ⚠️
🌐 BYD Company (SHE: 002594 / HKG: 1211 / SGX: HYDD / OTCMKTS: BYDDY / BYDDF) 🇨🇳 - Electronics, automobiles, new energy & rail transit. 🇼 🏷️
Price/Book (Current): 4.99
Forward P/E: 22.08 / Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 1.03% (Yahoo! Finance)